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日本五月贸易重回赤字,日本网民很焦虑


Japan returns to trade deficit in May
译者:unknown     发布时间:2016-08-03     超过 0 位网友阅读

选举胜利是唯一要确保的事,而不管商业表现,同样不顾海外贸易赤字或国内销售放缓

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TOKYO —
Japan fell into a trade deficit in May, the first since January, as export declines accelerated while imports dropped, the finance ministry said Monday.

东京——
日本财务省星期一表示,随着进口下降出口加速下降,五月份日本陷入贸易赤字,这是自一月以来的第一次

日本五月贸易重回赤字

For the latest month, exports fell 11.3%, marking the eighth straight monthly decline.
The value of steel shipments dropped 24.1%, while electronic parts such as semiconductors shrank 20%.

最近一个月,出口下降了11.3%,标志着连续第八个月下降。
钢铁的出货量下降了24.1%,而电子零件,如半导体缩减了20%。

Imports, meanwhile, also fell 13.8%, the 17th straight monthly drop, largely due to sharp declines in energy prices, such as crude oil and liquefied natural gas.

同时,进口量也下降了13.8%,延续了17个月的连续下降,主要是因为原有和液化天然气等能源价格的大幅下降。
China-bound exports fell 14.9%, led by optical equipment such as lenses, the ministry said.

日本财务省表示,对中国的出口下降了14.9%,这主要是镜头等光学设备的出口下降所导致。




klausdorthJun. 20, 2016 - 11:30AM JST
"...... dealing a fresh blow to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s efforts ......"
After so many blows he should consider "seeking shelter"!
This is just another one of so many in the past and more to come in the future!

”对安倍晋三的努力造成新的打击。。。“
在如此多的打击之后,他应该考虑”寻求庇护“
这只是众多发生在过去和更多发生在未来的打击当中的其中一个。



bonesJun. 20, 2016 - 11:31AM JST
And the yen keeps rising!!

还有日元在继续升值!!



some14someJun. 20, 2016 - 11:45AM JST
dealing a fresh blow to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s efforts to boost the fragile economy ahead of a July election.
Election victory is guaranteed regardless of business performance, whether overseas trade deficit or sluggish domestic sales.

’日元重新走强也对出口造成了压力,对安倍晋三在七月选举之前所做的提振脆弱经济的努力造成了新的打击。‘

选举胜利是唯一要确保的事,而不管商业表现,同样不顾海外贸易赤字或国内销售放缓。



danalawton1@yahoo.comJun. 20, 2016 - 12:15PM JST
Exports to China will only continue to fall.... each month China gains more and more capabilities to produce what the Japanese do. The Yen continues to rise because, despite Japan being one of them most in debt countries in the world, that debt is about 98% internally financed. Japan needs to scare the rest of the world.... like Greece. Rumors of defaults and such might help.

对中国的出后只会继续下降...每一个月中国都在越来越多地获得制造日本所能制造的产品的能力。日元保持升值是因为大约80%的债务用来对内供给资金,尽管日本是世界上负债最多的国家当中的一个。日本将会吓到世界其余的地区,....就像希腊。违约传闻之类的可能会促进这一点。



Gary RaynorJun. 20, 2016 - 01:21PM JST
bones
And the yen keeps rising!!
And so it should because Japan still runs a current account surplus,
The third biggest in the world, after China and Germany.
The only way the Japanese are going to weaken there currency in the short term is if they have monetary union   with Greece, but Germany's already bagged that one as a means of manipulating her currency.

’日元继续上扬‘
所以这应该是因为日本仍然经常账户盈余,
中国和德国之后的世界第三大
日本人在短期内削弱货币的唯一方式是他们是否与希腊结成货币联盟,但是德国早就玩过了这一套,作为一种操纵货币的手段。



Tigerta9Jun. 20, 2016 - 02:23PM JST
The era of exporting your way to the US and China because they are clods that crave made in Japan quality - no matter how superior it actually is over. Japan needs to grow up and stimulate internal demand and create a higher standard of living so that it can transition toward becoming the world's lifestyle superpower. A tall order indeed but that along with structural reforms is the nation's best chance.

一个向美国和中国出口你的方式的时代,因为他们都是渴望日本制造质量的傻瓜-不论实际上有多好。日本需要增长和刺激内需,还需要创造一个高的生活标准,以此来转变成生活方式上的世界超级大国,也许很难实现,但再加上结构性改革是这个国家的最佳机会了。



Aly RustomJun. 20, 2016 - 02:40PM JST
The only way the Japanese are going to weaken there currency in the short term is if they have monetary union   with Greece, but Germany's already bagged that one as a means of manipulating her currency.
Gary, you nailed it. Exactly right.

’日本人在短期内削弱货币的唯一方式是他们是否与希腊结成货币联盟,但是德国早就玩过了这一套,作为一种操纵货币的手段。‘

Gary,你看到了真相。完全正确



Mary Hinge 69Jun. 20, 2016 - 03:20PM JST
Us Brits are kicked in the Brexits every day now. Soon £1 = $1.

我们英国人现在每天都在退欧中扯皮。很快1英镑会等于1美元。



wtfjapanJun. 20, 2016 - 03:37PM JST
but Germany's already bagged that one as a means of manipulating her currency. LOL yeah like they dont hide behind a weak Euro all the while printing flat out with their own QE, no anybody who bets on the Yen will be allowed to appreciate it the 90s/80s for any length of time is a brave person. even when recording deficits speculators still dump their cash into yen for safety. (a problem no other currency suffers from) The currency moves are purely one sided and Japan can and will intervene when they see fit, and theres sweet stuff all anybody else can do about it except complain. If they were all concerned about intervention they would have banned it years ago, but nobody whats to ban tools that all central banks use to promote their economies. you may all bathe me in your glorious thumbs down. LOL

但是德国早就玩过了这一套,作为一种操纵货币的手段。哈哈哈,没错就像他们不一直躲在一个疲软的欧元后面实行他们自己的量化宽松政策。没有任何一个下注在日元上的人可以称任何一个时间段上的80后或90后是勇敢的人,即使当时记录赤字投机者仍然撒下他们的资金进入日元来避险。(一个没有其他货币经受过的问题)。

货币波动是完全片面的波动,而且当日本看到合适的时机时,日本能够而且将会出面干预,而且除了抱怨其他任何人都可以做一些其他的事来分享蛋糕。如果他们所有的人都担心外力干预,在许多年前他们就可以将之禁止了,但是没有人想要禁止中央银行用来促进经济的工具。我知道你门可能会送我一个踩,哈哈哈



BertieWoosterJun. 20, 2016 - 06:59PM JST
Abenomics!
It will work. I know it will. Just give it a few more years.

它会成功的,我知道它会的。只是要再多给它几年时间。



Gary RaynorJun. 20, 2016 - 08:39PM JST
wtfjapan
yeah like they dont hide behind a weak Euro all the while printing flat out with their own QE.
Are you serious, Germany has no QE outside of the ECB, which the German federal bank is cheesed off about?
One of the frictions between Germany and Japan is that Germany refuses to go along with QE and wants to maintain balanced budgets.
Of course we all know that Japanese QE is for Japan Inc alone, while Japan wouldn't mind getting a bit of German QE - just like it did with American QE - if it ever were to happen.
The classic Japanese mindset of what is yours is mine too, and what is mine is mine alone.
As Tigerta pointed out, the Japanese have to change there mindset and the days of living off selling to others, while blocking the others selling to you are gone and no amount of currency manipulation is going to change that fact.

’没错就像他们不一直躲在一个疲软的欧元后面实行他们自己的量化宽松政策。‘
你是认真的吗?德国人没有德国联邦银行所烦恼的绕开欧洲央行的QE政策?
德国和日本之间的一个不同之处是德国人拒绝一条道实行QE政策,并且想要保持平衡的预算。

当然,我们都知道日本的QE是针对日本提出的,而日本人不介意添加一点德国式QE-就像它之于美国QE所做的-如果真的发生过的话。

典型的日本式思维就是你的就是我的,我的还是我的
就像Tigerta指出的,日本人必须改变他们的思维模式还有依靠向他人出售货物过活的日子,同时阻止别的国家向你出售产品已经不可能了,与此同时再多的货币操纵也改变不了这个事实。



wtfjapanJun. 20, 2016 - 10:45PM JST
while Japan wouldn't mind getting a bit of German QE - just like it did with American QE yes it got plenty of American QE in the form of an abnormally weak $ and high yen. It certainly wasn't fun for us exporters. But now Japan has their own QE they all cry foul. LOL. Nah the BOJ like any other central bank can do how it pleases to support their economies, and just another reason nobody has labelled Japan / China currency manipulators directly or made any concrete steps to stop them, all talk and no nads.

而日本人不介意添加一点德国式QE-就像它之于美国QE所做的。没错,它在不正常的美元疲软,日元高企的形式中有大量美国QE的内容。对我们这些出口商来说肯定不是一件有趣的事。但现在日本有他们自己强烈反对的QE。哈哈哈。现在日本央行喜欢任何其他央行所做的支持经济的措施,而且另一个原因,没有人直接说日本和中国是货币操纵者或者指定任何具体的措施来阻止他们,不喜勿喷。



Gary RaynorJun. 21, 2016 - 12:04AM JST
wtfjapan
yes it got plenty of American QE in the form of an abnormally weak $ and high yen. It certainly wasn't fun for us exporters. But now Japan has their own QE they all cry foul.
I'm sorry, but apart from 2 months since the so called 'Crash of 2008' Japan has always had a current account surplus.
The whole point of QE in the 21st Century is to turn a deficit into a surplus by indirectly beggaring thy neighbor through cheaper imports of goods manufactured in your country...Japan already had a healthy current account surplus... Japan is greedy.
When was the last time the USA had a trade surplus, let alone a current account surplus, with the rest of the world?
Jeflee will correct me, but of the top of my head I think it was 1971/72.
The economic problem of japan is that the government spends too much money.

‘没错,它在不正常的美元疲软,日元高企的形式中有大量美国QE的内容。对我们这些出口商来说肯定不是一件有趣的事。’

我很抱歉,但是除了最近的两个月的自所谓的”2008大冲击“以来,日本一直经常账户盈余。

在21世纪,量化宽松政策的要点是通过在本国制造便宜出口产品来间接地向你的邻国乞讨来将赤字转化为盈余.....日本早就实现了一个健康的经常账户盈余,日本是贪婪的。
先不管经常账户盈余,美国上一次对于世界其余地区的贸易顺差是什么时候?
Jeflee会纠正我的,不过要我大概说一下的话那是在1971或72年。
日本的经济问题是政府花了太多的钱。



wtfjapanJun. 21, 2016 - 02:22AM JST
"Japan is greedy" ..name me one country that isnt.
The economic problem of japan is that the government spends too much money. and the US or any other developed economy doesn't!?
America continually insinuates that Japans / Chinas interventions/manipulations are the source of its deficit woes... The plaza accord of the 80s their own QE after the GFC is proof that they're not. Continued use of the yen as a safe haven currency is clearly one sided and doesn't reflect the health of Japans economy, Japan has every right to correct this imbalance if and when they see fit. Every central bank has the right to set policies that support their economies whether liked or not. China has and continues to do just this, other than some tough talk what have G8 members done about it?, sweet F all.

”日本是贪婪的“,,告诉我哪一个国家不是

日本的经济问题是政府花了太多的钱。那美国或者其他任何发达国家都没有?

美国不断暗示日本/中国的干预和操纵是它赤字的问题根源,在全球金融危机后的80年代广场协议证明它们不是。继续使用日元作为避险货币明显是片面的,而且不能反映日本经济的健康程度,如果或者当他们觉得合适时,日本有权利纠正这种不平衡,每一个中央银行都有权制定支持它们经济的政策,无论喜欢与否。中国已经并且正在这么做,除了一些强硬的谈话,G8的成员国于此做了什么?所有亲爱的朋友们



ThePBotJun. 21, 2016 - 03:10AM JST
I've lost count of how many arrows we're at.

我已经数不过来我们中了多少箭。



Reza RahmanJun. 21, 2016 - 06:51AM JST
The country is relying on an outdated economic model. The government should cut waste, increase immigration and reduce red tape.

这个国家在倚赖一个过时的经济模式。政府应该减少浪费,增加移民,减少官僚作风。



Gary RaynorJun. 21, 2016 - 12:07PM JST
wtfjapan
name me one country that isnt.
Most countries would just like to balance their current accounts and China is making a very concerted effort to wean its economy off dependence on exports and more reliant on domestic demand.
For Japan its too late, they should have done likewise at the end of the 80s. Now it's too late because a shrinking working demographics means the domestic demand is shrinking. Instead the LDP kept with the same mercantilist mindset, thinking it would suffice forever, when clearly past examples had shown them (Britain in the 19th Century and the US in the mid 20th Century) that it was going to fail.
Now Japan is addicted to abnormal current account surpluses for the revenue repatriated Japan Inc profits gives them through corporate taxes and the latest whinging about the yen's strength is really an attempt to keep the same old mercantilist export model in place.
The Japanese Yen, relative to economic factors such as the current account surplus should be in the mid 90s to the dollar

‘告诉我哪一个国家不是’

大多数国家只想平衡它们的经常账户,而且中国正在做出非常协调一致的努力来使它的经济摆脱对出口的依赖并更多的依赖内需。

对日本来说太晚了,它们应该在80年代末也做同样的事。现在太晚了,因为一个萎缩的劳动人口数据意味着内需也在萎缩。反而自民党持有相同的重商主义思维,认为这就永远足够了,当一个过去的例子清楚地展现在他们面前时(19世纪的英国和20实际中叶的美国)就意味着会失败。

现在日本沉迷于异常的经常账户盈余 ,这么说的原因是通过企业税税收补贴日本公司利润的做法,而且,最近喋喋不休的对日元坚挺程度的抱怨,确实是一个合适的举措来保持旧有的出口模式

日元相对于经济因素就如90年代中期美元的经常账户盈余。



wtfjapanJun. 21, 2016 - 08:07PM JST
The Japanese Yen, relative to economic factors such as the current account surplus should be in the mid 90s to the dollar, sorry I doubt that, US economy is doing relatively well compared to others and as their inflation is approaching the 2% thresthhold they'll have no choice but to raise interest rates later this year. I doubt the Yen will stay or should stay in the 90s for any significant amount of time. When or if Japan does reach it 2% inflation target and the economy recovers to something that resembles health then sure 90s if a fair range to be in.

日元相对于经济因素就如90年代中期美元的经常账户盈余。,抱歉,我对此表示怀疑,美国经济相对于其他国家还是比较好的,伴随着他们的通货膨胀接近2%的临界值,他们别无选择只能在今年以后提升利率。我怀疑日元将会保持或应该保持在最有数量意义的90年代水平。当或者如果日本达到2%的通货膨胀目标,并且经济恢复到一个大体健康的水平,那么当然就会进入一个像90年代那样的合理的范围内。



Gary RaynorJun. 21, 2016 - 11:11PM JST
wtfjapan
sorry I doubt that, US economy is doing relatively well compared to others and as their inflation is approaching the 2% thresthhold they'll have no choice but to raise interest rates later this year.
The US economy has no concerns over deflation or inflation, the US economy's concern is wage stagnation.... please do a bit of reading.....thus the influence of NF payrolls on Federal Reserve policy
When BOJ policy and government economic intent lowers itself to the concerns of second hand car salesman from Japan, then you might have a valid point to make, until then..............

‘抱歉,我对此表示怀疑,美国经济相对于其他国家还是比较好的,其他国家伴随着他们的通货膨胀接近2%的临界值,他们别无选择只能在今年以后提升利率。’

美国经济没有对于通货紧缩或通货膨胀的担忧,美国经济问题的关键是工资的停滞不前,。。。关于这一点请做一些相关阅读。。。。因此非农就业人口薪资对美国联邦储备政策产生影响

当日本银行政策和政府经济意图降低了对于日本二手车商的关注,然后你可能会做出一个正确的观点,直到。。。。。。。。。


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